Historical stress scenarios

This is the list of the historical stress scenarios available through the Edgelab API. The ID represents the identifier of the scenario that must be used in the API. For all these scenarios, the time horizon is implicitly given by the difference between the start and end dates.

ID Name Description Start date End date
7505 1973 - 1974 Arab Oil Embargo The Arab-dominated Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) proclaimed in October 1973 an oil embargo to the United States and other nations that provided military aid to Israel in the Yom Kippur War. In March 1974, the embargo was lifted, however during that six-month period, the price of oil had risen by nearly 400%. 1973-10-16 1974-03-17
7502 1987 Black Monday On October 19, 1987, the stock market collapsed suddenly and unexpectedly. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell by 22.6%. There was no compelling fundamental reason for the crash, which occurred mainly as a result of programmatic trading and investor panic. 1987-10-16 1987-10-19
7506 1990 Oil Price Shock Following Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, the United Nations imposed an embargo on oil exports from both countries, which were two of the world’s biggest oil producers. This led to an increase in oil prices by 133%. 1990-07-10 1990-09-28
7507 1998 Russian Financial Crisis On August 17, 1998, the Russian government devalued the ruble, defaulted on domestic debt and declared a moratorium on repayment of foreign debt. The crisis led to a lot of consequences in every sphere, such as devaluation of the national currency by around 250% by December 1998. 1998-07-01 1998-10-01
7508 2000 - 2002 Dot-com Bubble During the late 20th century, the Internet created a euphoric attitude toward business and inspired many hopes for the future of online commerce. For this reason, many Internet companies (known as “dot-coms”) were launched, and investors assumed that a company that operated online was going to be worth millions. But, obviously, many dot-coms were not rip-roaring successes, and most that were successful were highly overvalued. As a result, many of these companies crashed, leaving investors with significant losses. The NASDAQ composite index value dropped by 77% between March 11, 2000 and September 23, 2002. 2000-03-11 2002-10-09
7503 September 2001 : 9/11 Terror attacks On the morning of September 11, 2001, 19 terrorists hijacked four planes and carried out suicide attacks against targets in the United States. Two of the planes were flown into the twin towers of the World Trade Center in New York City, a third plane hit the Pentagon and the fourth plane crashed in a field in Pennsylvania. The stock market closed for four trading days after the attacks, the first time since the Great Depression. The immediate economic impact was a drop of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) by 7.13%. 2001-09-10 2001-09-21
3021 2007 - 2009 Great financial crisis In the mid 2000s, demand for mortgages led to an asset bubble in housing. When the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate, it sent adjustable mortgage interest rates skyrocketing causing home prices to plummet and many borrowers to default. Derivatives spread the risk into every corner of the globe. That caused the 2007 banking crisis, the 2008 financial crisis, and the Great Recession. Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by almost 50% between October 1, 2007 and February 27, 2009. 2007-10-01 2009-02-27
3035 2008 Lehman Brothers bankruptcy Since Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy in mid-September, its debt debacle continued to haunt the global financial market as investors became increasingly uncertain when the cascade of bank failures and bankruptcies will stop. 2008-09-05 2008-11-20
3044 2010 Greek Crisis In 2010, Greece said it might default on its national debt, threatening the viability of the eurozone itself. To avoid default, the EU loaned Greece enough to continue making payments. In return for the loan, the EU required Greece to adopt austerity measures. These reforms were intended to strengthen the Greek government and financial structures. They did that, but they also mired Greece in a recession. Greece’s credit rating was downgraded to junk status, the lowest in the eurozone. 2010-04-01 2010-05-07
10066 2010 Flash crash On May 6, 2010 between 14h and 15h, a large flash crash occured intra-day on the US market. The market mostly retraced its losses, nevertheless leaving a clear drop at closure. In the aftermath of this strong intra-day event, the subsequent days showed clearly large moves and an enhanced volatilite. Please notice that since the stress-tests are done with close prices, the intra-may moves are not acounted for, and a macro-stress test should be used to probe an isolated large move. 2010-05-05 2010-05-11
3048 2011 Japanese Earthquake On March 11, 2011, a 9.1 magnitude earthquake and tsunami struck Japan. This disrupted the global supply chain of semiconductor equipment and materials, as Japan manufactures 20% of the world’s semiconductor products. To make matters worse, the tsunami damaged the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, creating radioactive leaks. The Nikkei 225 index was down by 16% from March 11, 2011 to March 15, 2011. 2011-03-11 2011-03-15
4567 2013 Tapering Tantrum Since November 2008, the US Federal Reserve implemented a program called quantitative easing. It involved large purchases of bonds and other securities in order to increase liquidity in the financial sector and stimulate the economy. On May 22, 2013 the Fed announced that they may taper, or reduce, the size of its bond-buying program, which led to substantial turmoil in the financial markets during the second quarter. As a result, the interest rate of the US 10 Year Treasury Bond increased by 68% between May 1, 2013 and July 5, 2013. 2013-05-01 2013-07-05
4560 2015 SNB EURCHF floor removal The Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided on January 15, 2015 that it would no longer defend the minimum exchange rate of the Swiss franc against the Euro. The SNB has been intervening in the currency markets more aggressively since September 2011 to prevent the franc from appreciating too high, and at times, it was the only buyer of EURs to prevent the franc from dropping below €1.20. After three-and-a-half years of artificially capping the currency’s rise, Swiss officials have scrapped that plan, prompting a sharp franc rise across the board. As a result, in just one day it pushed down the value of the Euro by 30%. 2015-01-14 2015-01-15
4568 2015 Chinese Stock Market Turbulence Before reaching the ceiling on June 12, 2015, China’s stock market had ballooned about 150% in a year. The widespread participation of retail investors (accounting for over 80% of trading volume) and the practice of margin trading had fueled the rise in valuations and market volatility. Between June 12, 2015 and August 28, 2015 China’s Shanghai Composite index dropped by 37%. The sell-off was precipitated by the release of draft regulations pertaining to shadow-financed margin accounts. 2015-06-12 2015-08-28
4566 2011 European Sovereign Debt Crisis The European Sovereign debt crisis was triggered by several eurozone member states (Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Spain and Cyprus) that were unable to repay or refinance their government debt or to bail out over-indebted banks under their national supervision without the assistance of third parties like other eurozone countries, the European Central Bank (ECB), or the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It starts mid February of 2011 with Ireland’s political tensions after uncertainity surrounding the proposed bailout from the IMF and a huge deficit in the governement’s budget in 2010. The end of the crisis was set to end of November 2011 where the ECB, the US Federal Reserve, the central banks of Canada, Japan, Britain and the Swiss National Bank provided global financial markets with additional liquidity to ward off the debt crisis and to support the real economy. 2011-02-17 2011-11-22
10067 2018 February high volatility February 2018 is considered as a wild month for the stock market, mostly in the US, with several strong moves down and up. It is not related to one particular event, but rooted in economic uncertainty about overvaluation of stocks, rising interest rates and fears of inflation. Over the month, the volatility was very high, albeit the overall moves over this period are not exceptional. 2018-02-01 2018-02-21
10109 2018 Fall high volatility The 2018 Fall high volatility refers to a period marked by large daily price movements in the stock market, driven by a combination of factors including rising interest rates, trade tensions, and global economic uncertainty. \r\nThis period increased investor anxiety, leading to a significant decline in stock values. 2018-09-21 2018-12-21
10110 2020 Covid-19 crisis On 20th February 2020, stock markets across the world crashed after growing instability due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Declared a public health emergency of international concern by the WHO on 30th January 2020, governments resorted to unprecedented policy measures to contain the outbreak. Combined with the actual high valuation of the stock market, COVID-19 resulted in violent market reactions all over the world. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq fell by more than 30% between 20 February and 23 March. 2020-02-20 2020-03-23
10125 Reaganomics Reaganomics refers to the economic policies implemented during the presidency of Ronald Reagan. \r\nThese policies aimed to promote economic growth, reduce inflation, and increase employment through a combination of tax cuts, deregulation, and tight monetary policy. 1982-08-12 1987-08-25

Macro stress scenarios

This is the list of all the macro stress scenarios where a shock on the primary driver is spread across the whole universe. All the scenarios suppose a time horizon of 5 days.

ID Primary driver Shock on the primary driver
10004 EuroStoxx -10%
10005 CAC 40 -10%
10006 DAX -10%
10007 IBEX 35 -10%
10008 SMI -10%
10009 OMX STOCKHOLM 30 -10%
10010 FTSE 100 -10%
10011 Dow Jones Industrial Average -10%
10012 S&P 500 Net TR -10%
10013 NASDAQ 100 -10%
10014 S&P/TSX 60 -10%
10015 Nikkei 225 -10%
10016 Hong Kong Hang Seng Index -10%
10018 MSCI Emerging Markets Index -10%
10019 FTSE Europe GBI EUR -10%
10020 Bloomberg US Government Bond -10%
10021 Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD -10%
10022 Swiss Bond Index (SBI) Domestic Government Total Return -10%
10023 Swiss Bond Index AAA-BBB Total Return -10%
10024 SXI Swiss Real Estate Funds TR -10%
10025 USD-GBP -10%
10026 USD-GBP +10%
10027 USD-JPY -10%
10028 USD-JPY +10%
10029 USD-CHF -10%
10030 USD-CHF +10%
10031 USD-EUR -10%
10032 USD-EUR +10%
10033 USD-AUD -10%
10034 USD-AUD +10%
10035 USD-CAD -10%
10036 USD-CAD +10%
10037 XAU-USD -10%
10038 XAU-USD +10%
10039 XAG-USD -10%
10040 XAG-USD +10%
10041 CHF yield curve -25 bps
10042 CHF yield curve +25 bps
10045 EUR yield curve -25 bps
10046 EUR yield curve +25 bps
10049 GBP yield curve -25 bps
10050 GBP yield curve +25 bps
10053 USD yield curve -25 bps
10054 USD yield curve +25 bps
10057 JPY yield curve -25 bps
10058 JPY yield curve +25 bps
10100 MSCI World EUR -10%
21148 USD yield curve +100 bps

Isolated stress scenarios

This is the list of all the macro stress scenarios where a shock is applied only on the prescribed entities and not spread to the rest of the factors. All the scenarios suppose a time horizon of 5 days.

ID Primary driver Shock on the primary driver
10043 CHF yield curve -25 bps
10044 CHF yield curve +25 bps
10047 EUR yield curve -25 bps
10048 EUR yield curve +25 bps
10051 GBP yield curve -25 bps
10052 GBP yield curve +25 bps
10055 USD yield curve -25 bps
10056 USD yield curve +25 bps
10059 JPY yield curve -25 bps
10060 JPY yield curve +25 bps
10061 Swiss equities Prices -10%
10062 EUR denominated equities Prices -10%
10063 UK equities Prices -10%
10064 US equities Prices -10%
10065 Japanese equities Prices -10%
10068 Global credit curve shift Spread +25%
10101 Swiss credit curve shift Spread +25%
10102 US credit curve shift Spread +25%
10103 Eurozone credit curve shift Spread +25%
10104 French credit curve shift Spread +25%
10105 German credit curve shift Spread +25%
10106 Italian credit curve shift Spread +25%
10107 Spanish credit curve shift Spread +25%
10108 British credit curve shift Spread +25%
21147 USD yield curve +100 bps

Stress drivers

This is the list of all the stress drivers for which you can call a “pnl” impact on demand and choose the magnitude of shock.

ID Description Shock Type
fx-USD-AUD Foreign Exchange Rate USD in AUD. relative
fx-USD-CAD Foreign Exchange Rate USD in CAD. relative
fx-USD-CHF Foreign Exchange Rate USD in CHF. relative
fx-USD-EUR Foreign Exchange Rate USD in EUR. relative
fx-USD-GBP Foreign Exchange Rate USD in GBP. relative
fx-USD-JPY Foreign Exchange Rate USD in JPY. relative
fx-XAG-USD Foreign Exchange Rate XAG (Silver) in USD. relative
fx-XAU-USD Foreign Exchange Rate XAU (Gold) in USD. relative
index-bonds-ch-gov Index of government bonds in Switzerland. relative
index-bonds-ch-hq Index of high quality grades bonds in Switzerland. relative
index-bonds-eu-gov Index of government bonds in the Eurozone countries. relative
index-bonds-us-gov Index of government bonds in the United States. relative
index-bonds-us-hy Index of high yield corporate bonds in the United States. relative
index-equity-cac40 Index of 40 main French stocks that are trading on Euronext Paris. relative
index-equity-dax30 Index of 30 main blue chip german stocks trading on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. relative
index-equity-djia30 Index of 30 large stock listed on the stock exchanges in the United States. relative
index-equity-eurostoxx50 Index of main blue chip Eurozone stocks. relative
index-equity-ftse100 Index of 100 stocks with the highest market capitalisation listed on the London Stock Exchange. relative
index-equity-hangseng50 Index of 50 large stock traded on the Honk Kong stock exchange. relative
index-equity-ibex35 Index of 35 main Spanish stocks trading on the Bolsa the Madrid. relative
index-equity-msci-em Index of over 1300 large and mid cap equities across 27 Emerging Markets. relative
index-equity-msci-world Index of over 1500 large and mid cap equities across 23 Developed Markets. relative
index-equity-nasdaq100 Index of stocks issued by 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange. relative
index-equity-nikkei225 Index of 225 large stocks traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. relative
index-equity-omx30 Index of 30 most traded stock on the Stockholm Stock Exchange. relative
index-equity-smi20 Index of main Swiss Stocks. It includes 20 of the largest and most liquuid Swiss companies. relative
index-equity-sp500 Index of 500 large stocks listed on the stock exchanges in United States. relative
index-equity-sptsx60 Index of approximately 250 stocks traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange. relative
index-real-estate-ch Index of the real estate market based on the real estate funds traded at SIX Exchange that have at least 75% of their assets invested in Switzerland. relative
yield-CHF Parrallel shift in CHF yield curve. absolute
yield-EUR Parrallel shift in EUR yield curve. absolute
yield-GBP Parrallel shift in GBO yield curve. absolute
yield-JPY Parrallel shift in JPY yield curve. absolute
yield-USD Parrallel shift in USD yield curve. absolute